Behavioural flexibility predicts species richness in birds, but not extinction risk

The number of species varies greatly among taxa. In birds, for example, the parvorder Passerida contains 3556 species while the Odontophorida contains only six species. This uneven distribution of species among bird groups is not a consequence of random branching patterns and therefore warrants an explanation. According to the behavioural drive hypothesis, behavioural innovation coupled with social transmission of the new skill to other members of the population may lead to accelerated rates of evolution, and could therefore account for differences in species richness. In this paper, we test the behavioural drive hypothesis by examining the link between behavioural flexibility and the number of species per taxon. We estimate flexibility with relative brain size and feeding innovation rate and predict that both will be positively associated with the number of species per taxon. Since the number of species at any given time results from a balance between speciation and extinction rates, we also examine the link between flexibility and the number of species threatened with extinction. We predict that the two flexibility correlates will be negatively associated with the number of species at risk. In simple regressions, both flexibility correlates were significantly associated with species number per taxon. However, only innovation rate remained in the final model. Relative brain weight dropped out of the multiple regression due to its association with innovation rate. Relative brain weight, innovation rate and species number per taxon were all significantly correlated with the number of threatened species in the simple regression, but only the latter remained significant in the final model. The same results were obtained on independent contrasts, indicating that behavioural flexibility predicts richness but not extinction risk in birds.